- · Leverage is a double-edged sword
- · Increased risk of default
- · Overpaying
- · Political risks
- · Less access to capital markets
- · The need to cash-out
Put simply, leverage is a double edged sword. It will magnify owner returns in good
times and diminish them in bad times.
It is a sword that cuts both ways.
In general, we have two ways to finance a business: debt or equity. In a physical sense, debt (leverage)
magnifies our ability to lift an object.
Here, that object is the equity rate of return. In good times, we pay off the fixed
cost of debt (interest) and divide the profit pie among fewer shares producing
a greater rate of return. But in
bad times, the reverse is true – we must pay the fixed interest charge
regardless of profits. Equity rate
of return declines.
In the U.K., leverage is known as gearing. Similarly, one can imagine how using
the proper or improper gearing on a bicycle could help – or hinder performance. Correspondingly, increased leverage
brings an increased probability of default.
Easy access to debt facilitates overpaying, which is probably the key
factor responsible for less than adequate acquisition returns (the other candidate is lack of proper
integration).
Political risks arise as leveraged deals face adverse
commentary in the financial press.
The result can be increased costs through higher levels of governmental regulation.
If a highly levered firm is also going private, there is generally
less access to capital markets.
Finally, the typical private equity model assumes a five to seven year cycle. The private equity
firm doesn’t want to be a long term owner, but it does want to work its magic
(see the blog on the ways acquisition finance creates value) and then cash
out. But cashing out at a
desirable price may not be possible for many reasons. First, anticipated increases in value may not
materialize. Second, the cyclical
nature of industry or financial markets may work against a timely sale. Third, in spite of best efforts, a
suitable buyer may not materialize or may disagree on the value of the firm to
be acquired.
All of these factors produce problems for deals involving
acquisition finance. In later
blogs, we will talk about ways acquiring and selling firms can a) have more
confidence they are using the proper amount of leverage and b) protect
themselves against the risks commonly associated with mergers and acquisitions.
All the best,
Ralph
No comments:
Post a Comment