In two previous posts Repurchases: Part 1 Shareholders Beware and Repurchases Part 2: The Positive Side, Joe and I have debated the merits of repurchases. Today's blog contains Part 3, Joe's response. We'll conclude (maybe) our current discussion on repurchases on Wednesday. We'll both respond to these points and try to summarize.
R
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Joe:
R
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Joe:
Perhaps, I was
overly critical of share repurchases in my previous post. Ralph raised several
good points to which I would like to offer some clarifying comments.
1) Shareholder
distributions, dividends and repurchases, do not increase value since they do
not affect firm cash flows. They are, however, correlated with value
changes.
2) Not all
repurchases are created the same. Their impact depends on their size, premium
offered, execution method, and funding. Small, excess cash funded, low premium
open market repurchases are associated with small effects.
3) Everything that
can be done with a repurchase can be done with a combination special dividend
and reverse split. My point is to understand what is driving management's
choice of a repurchase over a dividend, and whether it serves the best
interests of continuing shareholders. A possible motivation may be
that while most stock option plans adjust for repurchases, they do not adjust
for dividends. Thus, stock options are worth more to executives when cash
is returned through repurchases v dividends. Interestingly, Berkshire Hathaway,
which recently announced a repurchase, does not grant large levels of options
and restricted shares to its executives thereby avoiding this issue.
4) The danger of a value
transfer from continuing to selling shareholders exists when management
overpays relative to the stock's intrinsic value for the repurchase. Berkshire
provides an excellent example of pricing discipline in its repurchase policy.
They state repurchases will be approved only to return excess cash when its
shares are trading for less than 120% of their net asset value, i.e.
intrinsic value.
Bottom line, trust,
but verify. Repurchases are more complex than they first appear. The FT's
1/2/13 Lex Column put it best: "Companies should manage cash
carefully so a payout is sustainable across the cycle. Failing that, special
dividends work just fine, thanks. Cash that a company earns that cannot be
invested for adequate returns belongs to shareholders. Keep it simple, and
return it to them.".
J
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