The go-to recommendation from many consultants and academics
is to lever up your firm to increase your tax shield, lower your WACC and fend off
activists. This approach may fit for some mature firms. It is, however, less
well suited for other firms.
A useful approach to setting debt policy as reflected in a
firm’s actual or implied debt rating is based on a firm’s life cycle. Consider
the following:
1)
Early and growth stage firms: most of their
value is reflected in growth opportunities from assets not yet in place. They
have negative free cash flow due to operating losses, high business risk and
high CAPEX. Hence they need flexibility to complete their investment plan and
maintain access to capital. Such firms have high financial distress costs.
Furthermore, they have limited taxable income i.e. tax shields have limited
value. Such firms should and do have low debt levels.
2)
Mature firms: generate more cash than they can
profitably invest due to high operating income and reduced investment needs.
Business risk has decreased and the need for financial flexibility is low as is
business risk. Additionally, they have high taxable income in need of tax
shields. Finally, agency/incentive issues become prominent regarding investment
allocations. In these circumstances, increasing debt makes sense. Witness the
“old” tech firms like Apple that have pressured by activist to increase debt
level to reduce the risk of misallocated capital. Also confirmed by consumer
non durable firms which spend time on tax planning, including use of debt
related tax shields, to reduce their tax burden.
3)
Declining firms: here the emphasis shifts from
value creation and taxes to value transfers among the firm’s various claimants.
Debt holders, often purchasing the debt in the secondary market at a discount,
are looking to squeeze-out shareholders and gain control of the firm’s assets
in a disguised bargain purchase. Equity holders are seeking to protect their
interests. The Caesar’s Palace’s bankruptcy has highlighted questionable
transfers by PE firm Apollo to shield assets from creditors.
In addition to life cycle and taxes there are other reasons
firms may favor debt. These include:
1)
Information asymmetry discount (AKA Pecking Order Theory
): debt is a contractual obligation v equity which is a residual claim. Hence,
there is more informational uncertainty regarding equity, and equity investors
require a higher discount to induce them to commit. Managers recognize this
fact and exhaust internal funds and debt capacity before issuing additional
equity.
2)
Ownership/Control: maintaining ownership and
control (ownership v earnings dilution) is very important for private and
smaller closely held public firms. Thus, equity is not a preferred funding
instrument.
3)
Discipline: agency issues arise whenever
management’s interests diverge from shareholders. Debt can provide the
discipline needed to hold management’s feet to the fire. This is a driving
force behind many LBOs (agency
costs).
4)
Signaling: issuing equity for mature firms
usually results in a stock price decline. Investors view the raise as a signal
that future cash flows will be less than expected. Debt must be serviced
(P&I). Management would not issue equity if they thought it was
undervalued. Conversely, management
would not issue the debt unless it thought the firm could repay it. Consequently, debt issues are viewed by
investors as neutral.
5)
Value Transfers: see the declining firm
discussion above. Creditors attempt to protect against this include seniority,
security and covenants. Legal protections include substantive
consolidation, fraudulent
conveyance and equitable
subordination.
The above framework can aid managers seeking to make capital
structure decisions.
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